Tuesday, September 09, 2008

Hurricane Ike - Satellite- Radar And Track Forecast Update



There has been a significant change to weather models' depiction of a possible track of Hurricane Ike.


Category 1-2 Ike is shown here in the first visible satellite and Key West-FL Doppler radar images.

Also- the NHC has shifted the track forecast left- or toward the Texas Gulf coast.

Both primary hurricane models- the GFDL and HWRF- take Ike west to a possible landfall anywhere from Brownsville to Corpus Christi-TX.

In fact- virtually all operational weather models now show a landfall on the Texas coast- but are spread from near Brownsville to near Galveston/Houston.

However at this time- and the errors can be large- a landfall near Corpus Christi-TX seems entirely possible.

In addition- significant rainfalls are likely later this week from the Kansas City MetroRegion south to the Gulf coast- influenced by both Tropical Storm Lowell over Baja California progged to be ingested toward us and of course Hurrican Ike.

I'll update here later today and continue the at least 2 a day updates until Ike is close to a possible landfall late Friday into Saturday.



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