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Monday, February 07, 2011

CSW WEATHER: That 4-Letter "S" Word

Even the most ardent advocates of the cold season are beginning to tire of the Winter of 2010-11- and although there's some bad news- there's also some good news.

You will note the NWS national watch/warning map and see that snow advisories/winter storm watches for Tuesday cover about the southwestern half of the Central States and parts of the MetroRegion- but so far- no such nonsense in the Metro.

The advisories come close- Lawrence- Topeka- Emporia- Ottawa KS areas- but drop off in our immediate counties and the first tier of Kansas counties west of the Missouri state line (yes my dear- Pleasanton gets a break far).

Note by the NWS-HPC (Hydrological Prediction Center) snowfall forecast graphics for Tuesday that the green line indicating a "moderate" chance of snows 4-inches or greater comes into western MO and eastern KS from the Metro southward.

The last graphic shows the blue line or "slight" chance of snows 8-inches or greater even comes in to the Fort Scott KS-Nevada MO area.

So the southern Metro Kansas City area southward along the state line isn't out of the woods yet in regard to more snow- but nothing like the depths seen early last week.

Now the good news!

After another Arctic air mass settles in Wednesday and Thursday (the last of which we may feel for another 10 days or so)- temperatures start to moderate by the coming weekend.

In fact- we should see temps ABOVE AVERAGE- 40's and 50's- on Saturday and Sunday- which will bite into our old (and new) snow cover.

Another cold front comes through later next Monday- but no significant precip is yet associated with that front.

Really no super cold air with that Monday front either- and the latter half of next week we see another warm-up into above-average territory- with a chance of precip (rain) next weekend.

The LAST DAY of 'meteorological winter' is 3 weeks from today.


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