With the warm late-springlike weather comes the risk of thunderstorms- and that risk will increase overnight tonight into Tuesday over all but the northwestern portions of the Kansas City MetroRegion...
The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) branch of our National Weather Service (NWS) has the Metro and those parts of the MetroRegion under a "slight" risk of severe thunderstorms beginning at 7 a.m. CDT tomorrow.
These will be isolated to scattered storms- with the severe activity expected late afternoon to early evening Tuesday- but no large mesoscale system is predicted with Tuesday's activity.
The primary severe threat is of possible hail 1-inch or larger and 60 m.p.h. or higher wind gusts (always remember: There's often the risk of an at least small tornado with many severe storms!).
A cold front will slow down and stall-out in the MetroRegion Tuesday and hang around through late week.
"Minor" low-pressure impulses will travel along the stationary front until the front lifts northward as a warm front by Friday.
This means at least chances of showers and thunderstorms- mostly occurring overnight into the morning hours.
Severe storm chances look very small- but will increase some Friday.
Temperatures through next weekend will remain well above average- in the 70 to 80-degree range each day.
Some weather models are advertising a stronger low pressure and frontal system affecting the Kansas City MetroRegion early next week.
The GFS weather model shows a more widespread and stronger chance of severe thunderstorms (and possible tornadoes) Monday- along with significantly colder temperatures thereafter through at least the middle of next week.
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