Thursday, November 23, 2006

NWS' Winter Weather Outlook

You've no doubt by now heard all the local forecasters' predictions for the 2006-07 winter season.

Well- old Groucho has been a weather geek since he was 4-1/2 when that F-5 tornado leveled Ruskin Heights. Also a charter member of America's FIRST self-sponsored teenager weather service in the late 1960's and a storm 'chaser' since I started driving around 1970. So I DO know what a cloud is. (grin)

Regardless- I made my Winter prediction about a month ago: Temperatures and precipitation normal to slightly above normal.

Below are just-released charts from the National Weather Service that forecasts the temperature and precipitation trends for January, February and March of 2007. They seem to corelate my own prognostication.






For the short term - from now until about mid-December- it appears by the models (Cindy Crawford, Kate Moss, etc.) that we will undergo a wide fluctuation of temperatures that nonetheless will average out to near normal. It also appears that several storm systems will affect the Kansas City MetroRegion during this period. Precipitation amounts will be normal to slightly above-normal through mid-December.

Of note- a storm system that will affect us by mid next week could produce severe thunderstorms close to but mainly south and southeast of the KC MetroRegion. While we will enjoy balmy conditions until the frontal passage - now forecast for early next Wednesday - the front will usher in a blast of Arctic air.

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