The Kansas City MetroRegion remains under a "slight risk" of severe thunderstorms and all manner of associated severe weather types for tomorrow- according to the National Weather Service's (NWS) Storm Prediction Center (SPC).
The biggest detriment to this chance is:
A) available Gulf of Mexico moisture. South winds are just now starting to pump these high dewpoints into south & southeast Texas and Louisiana and
B) a strong inversion cap or "EML" over our area (a warmer layer of the atmosphere above the surface that does not allow for warm- surface air to jet upward and form storms).
There's still more than 24 hours until the system reaches the MetroRegion- so that COULD be enough time to get a quality GOM moisture return.
If that does indeed prevail- and the cap breaks in time- chances are that the slight risk will be upgraded to at least a moderate risk that would include virtually all of the K.C. Metro and MetroRegion.
I'll keep you updated here....
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